Newblock
  • News
    • Bitcoin
    • Ethereum
    • XRP
    • Solana
    • Cardano
    • Blockchain News
    • Press Releases
    • Events
  • Analysis
    • Market Analysis
    • Price analysis
  • Ranking
No Result
View All Result
  • Login
Buy crypto
Newblock
  • News
    • Bitcoin
    • Ethereum
    • XRP
    • Solana
    • Cardano
    • Blockchain News
    • Press Releases
    • Events
  • Analysis
    • Market Analysis
    • Price analysis
  • Ranking
No Result
View All Result
Newblock

Bitcoin price can’t find its footing, but BTC fundamentals inspire confidence in traders

January 18, 2022
in Bitcoin News
397 25
0
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Bitcoin’s (BTC) sudden crash on Jan. 10 caused the price to trade below $40,000 for the first time in 110 days and this was a wake-up call to leveraged traders. $1.9 billion worth of long (buy) futures contracts were liquidated that week, causing the morale among traders to plunge.

The crypto “Fear & Greed” index, which ranges from 0 “extreme fear” to 100 “greed” reached 10 on Jan. 10, the lowest level it has been since the Mar. 2020 crash. The indicator measures traders’ sentiment using historical volatility, market momentum, volume, Bitcoin dominance and social media.

As usual, the panic turned out to be a buying opportunity because the total crypto market capitalization rose by 13.5%, going from a $1.85 trillion bottom to $2.1 trillion in less than three days.

Currently, investors seem to be digesting this week’s economic data that shows United States December 2021 retail sales going down by 1.9% compared to the previous month.

Investors have reason to worry about stagflation, a scenario where inflation accelerates despite the lack of economic growth. However, even if this eventually proves that Bitcoin’s digital scarcity is a positive characteristic, markets will still take shelter with whatever asset is deemed safe. Thus, the first wave will potentially be damaging for cryptocurrencies.

Top weekly winners and losers on Jan. 17. Source: Nomics

Bitcoin price was flat over the past seven days, effectively underperforming the altcoin market’s 7% gain. Part of this unusual movement can be explained by layer-1 decentralized applications platforms showing a positive performance that was driven by Fantom (FTM), Cardano (ADA), Near Protocol (NEAR) and Harmony (ONE).

Loopring (LRC), a zkRollup open protocol for decentralized exchanges on Ethereum, presented the worst performance of the week. The DEX volume using the protocol peaked at $30 million per day in early December 2021, but is now near $6 million. Meanwhile, Dfinity (ICP) and Chainlink (LINK) are adjusting after a 40% or higher rally in the first 10 days of 2022.

Tether’s premium and the futures premium held up well

The OKEx Tether (USDT) premium or discount measures the difference between China-based peer-to-peer (P2P) trades and the official U.S. dollar. Figures above 100% indicate excessive demand for cryptocurrency investing. On the other hand, a 5% discount usually indicates heavy selling activity.

OKEx USDT peer-to-peer premium vs. USD. Source: OKEx

The Tether indicator bottomed at a 3% discount on Dec. 31, which is slightly bearish but not alarming. However, this metric has held a decent 2% discount over the past week, signaling no panic selling from China-based traders.

To further prove that the crypto market structure has held, traders should analyze the CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts premium. That metric analyzes the difference between longer-term futures contracts to the current spot price in regular markets.

Whenever this indicator fades or turns negative, it is an alarming red flag. This situation is also known as backwardation and indicates that bearish sentiment is present.

BTC CME 2-month forward contract premium vs. Bitcoin/USD. Source: TradingView

These fixed-month contracts usually trade at a slight premium, indicating that sellers request more money to withhold settlements for longer. As a result, futures should trade at a 0.5% to 2% premium in healthy markets, a situation known as contango.

Notice how the indicator flipped negative on Dec. 9 as Bitcoin traded below $49,000 but it still managed to sustain a slightly positive number. This shows that institutional traders display a lack of confidence, although it is not yet a bearish structure.

Considering that the aggregate cryptocurrency market capitalization is down 9.5% to date, the market structure held rather nicely. The CME futures premium would have gone negative if there had been excessive demand for short-sellers.

Unless these fundamentals change significantly, there is not yet sufficient information available that would support calls for a sub-$40,000 Bitcoin price.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Source link

You might also like

G7 Countries Crypto

G7 Countries, EU Taking Measures to Prevent Crypto Use to Evade Sanctions

March 5, 2022
Coinbase CEO Russians Crypto

Coinbase CEO Says Ordinary Russians Use Crypto as a Lifeline as the Ruble Collapses

March 5, 2022

Related News

G7 Countries Crypto

G7 Countries, EU Taking Measures to Prevent Crypto Use to Evade Sanctions

by Editorial Team
March 5, 2022
1

G7 countries and the European Union are examining ways to stop the use of cryptocurrency by Russia to evade sanctions....

Coinbase CEO Russians Crypto

Coinbase CEO Says Ordinary Russians Use Crypto as a Lifeline as the Ruble Collapses

by Editorial Team
March 5, 2022
1

The CEO of the Nasdaq-listed crypto exchange Coinbase says ordinary Russians are using cryptocurrency as a lifeline now that their...

Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Drops

Bitcoin Miners Catch a Break as Mining Difficulty Drops for the First Time in 3 Months

by Editorial Team
March 5, 2022
1

Bitcoin miners got a small break on March 3, after the network’s mining difficulty shifted downward for the first time...

Arbitrum Treasure DAO hack

Attacker Hacks Arbitrum’s Treasure DAO for Over 100 NFTs by Leveraging Marketplace Exploit

by Editorial Team
March 5, 2022
1

A non-fungible token market platform built on top of Arbitrum called Treasure DAO was hacked on March 3 at 7:33...

Next Post
crypto price analysis

Bitcoin price drops below $42K, but analysts still expect ‘one more impulse’ move

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Get daily news updates to your inbox!

Popular

  • crypto price analysis

    BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, LUNA, DOGE, DOT, AVAX

    21678 shares
    Share 8671 Tweet 5420
  • Google Launches Blockchain Division

    5331 shares
    Share 2131 Tweet 1332
  • Microsoft Reveals Activision Purchase for $68.7 Billion as an Approach to the Metaverse

    972 shares
    Share 389 Tweet 243
  • GAIMIN Brings Blockchain and NFTs to Minecraft – Press release Bitcoin News

    957 shares
    Share 383 Tweet 239
  • Coinbase exec says major Ethereum scaling improvements coming soon

    923 shares
    Share 369 Tweet 231

Recommended

SCRT Labs Launches $400 Million Fund to Bolster Privacy Network’s Ecosystem and Application Layer

SCRT Labs Launches $400 Million Fund to Bolster Privacy Network’s Ecosystem and Application Layer

January 20, 2022
metaverse news

How can the Metaverse help the food industry?

January 29, 2022
Newblock

Newblock is a blockchain news service that covers bitcoin and altcoin news, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins.
© 2022 Newblock

Navigate Site

  • Blockchain news
  • Crypto Analysis
  • Ranking
  • Media Partnerships
  • Privacy Center
  • Contact Us
  • Donate

Follow Us

No Result
View All Result
  • News
    • Bitcoin
    • Ethereum
    • XRP
    • Cardano
    • Solana
    • Blockchain News
    • Press Releases
    • Events
  • Analysis
    • Market Analysis
    • Price analysis
  • Ranking
  • Buy Crypto
  • Privacy Center
  • Contact Us
  • Donate

Newblock is a blockchain news service that covers bitcoin and altcoin news, technical analysis & forecasts for bitcoin price and other altcoins.
© 2022 Newblock

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy and Cookie Policy.